There’s No Evidence That Donald Trump Has Caused a Surge in Anti-Semitic Violence

Those who wish to blame the slaughter of Jews in Pittsburgh on the president have cited a study recently released by the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) that seems to support their contention. According to the study, reported anti-Semitic incidents increased by nearly 60 percent between 2016 and 2017. But, writes David Bernstein, this statistic is highly misleading, and those citing it ignore some basic recent history:

Pittsburgh was hardly the first time an anti-Semitic gunman murdered people in a Jewish institution in the U.S. During the presidencies of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, there was a shooting at a Jewish Community Center in Los Angeles, a shooting at an El Al counter at the Los Angeles airport, a shooting at the Jewish Federation in Seattle, a shooting at a Jewish Community Center in Kansas City, and a shooting at the Holocaust Museum in Washington DC. Lower levels of vandalism and violence have been even more common. It’s true that the death toll in Pittsburgh was especially high, but that’s just happenstance; any of the other shooters would have been happy to kill as many or more. (It’s worth noting that many commentators . . . simply ignore these past crimes, and act as if the Pittsburgh murders were some unique event in recent American Jewish history.) . . .

There are, [furthermore], several problems with relying on this study for Trump-bashing. . . . The first is that the study includes 193 incidents of bomb threats to Jewish institutions as anti-Semitic incidents, even though by the time the ADL published the study, it had been conclusively shown that the two perpetrators of the bomb threats were not motivated by anti-Semitism. . . .

Second, the ADL report itself acknowledges that some of the rise in incidents may simply be due to better reporting. . . . Third, “college campuses saw a total of 204 incidents in 2017, compared to 108 in 2016.” How many of those incidents emanating from traditional forms of anti-Semitism that one might associate with Trumpian populism, and how many from leftist/pro-Palestinian sources? The ADL doesn’t say. . . .

[That being said], I think that reasoned criticism of President Trump is useful—for example, noting that Trump’s conspiratorial mindset inadvertently feeds anti-Semitism because the latter is a product of the same mindset, or that Trump should have unequivocally rejected support from white nationalists during his campaign, . . . and so on, though I would draw the line at blaming Trump for the incident, unless one can also explain why there were similar shootings before Trump and wants to talk about all the other currents of anti-Semitism on both left and right that contribute to Jews’ being by far the most targeted religious group for hate crimes for many years running.

Read more at Volokh Conspiracy

More about: ADL, Anti-Semitism, Donald Trump, Politics & Current Affairs

 

Hizballah Is Learning Israel’s Weak Spots

On Tuesday, a Hizballah drone attack injured three people in northern Israel. The next day, another attack, targeting an IDF base, injured eighteen people, six of them seriously, in Arab al-Amshe, also in the north. This second attack involved the simultaneous use of drones carrying explosives and guided antitank missiles. In both cases, the defensive systems that performed so successfully last weekend failed to stop the drones and missiles. Ron Ben-Yishai has a straightforward explanation as to why: the Lebanon-backed terrorist group is getting better at evading Israel defenses. He explains the three basis systems used to pilot these unmanned aircraft, and their practical effects:

These systems allow drones to act similarly to fighter jets, using “dead zones”—areas not visible to radar or other optical detection—to approach targets. They fly low initially, then ascend just before crashing and detonating on the target. The terrain of southern Lebanon is particularly conducive to such attacks.

But this requires skills that the terror group has honed over months of fighting against Israel. The latest attacks involved a large drone capable of carrying over 50 kg (110 lbs.) of explosives. The terrorists have likely analyzed Israel’s alert and interception systems, recognizing that shooting down their drones requires early detection to allow sufficient time for launching interceptors.

The IDF tries to detect any incoming drones on its radar, as it had done prior to the war. Despite Hizballah’s learning curve, the IDF’s technological edge offers an advantage. However, the military must recognize that any measure it takes is quickly observed and analyzed, and even the most effective defenses can be incomplete. The terrain near the Lebanon-Israel border continues to pose a challenge, necessitating technological solutions and significant financial investment.

Read more at Ynet

More about: Hizballah, Iron Dome, Israeli Security