Azerbaijan: Israel’s Most Important Muslim Ally

Feb. 24 2015

Although Azerbaijan, a Shiite-majority nation in the Caucasus, does not maintain an embassy in Israel, it has a strong alliance with the Jewish state, importing Israeli military technology and exporting oil. Israel also seems to use Azerbaijan for intelligence-gathering, in exchange for advice and training for the Azeri military. But the relationship runs deeper than that, as Gallia Lindenstrauss writes, as the two countries share an enduring interest in checking Iranian aggression:

[D]uring the [1991-1994 Armenian-Azerbaijani] war over Nagorno-Karabakh and the nearby areas, Iran was (and still is) an ally of Armenia. Another source of dispute between Azerbaijan and Iran is the division of natural resources in the Caspian Sea, and in addition the Azerbaijanis accuse Iran of encouraging a religious revival among their Shiite population. . . .

While many countries perceive Iran, and especially its nuclear program, as a threat, most do not regard it as an existential threat; the few countries that do, include both Israel and Azerbaijan. . . . [I]n many respects, Azerbaijan is irreplaceable for Israel, and the proximity of this country to Iran makes it especially attractive.

Read more at Institute for National Security Studies

More about: Azerbaijan, Iran, Israel & Zionism, Israel diplomacy, Shiites

Hebron’s Restless Palestinian Clans, and Israel’s Missed Opportunity

Over the weekend, Elliot Kaufman of the Wall Street Journal reported about a formal letter, signed by five prominent sheikhs from the Judean city of Hebron and addressed to the Israeli economy minister Nir Barkat. The letter proposed that Hebron, one of the West Bank’s largest municipalities, “break out of the Palestinian Authority (PA), establish an emirate of its own, and join the Abraham Accords.” Kaufman spoke with some of the sheikhs, who emphasized their resentment at the PA’s corruption and fecklessness, and their desire for peace.

Responding to these unusual events, Seth Mandel looks back to what he describes as his favorite “‘what if’ moment in the Arab-Israeli conflict,” involving

a plan for the West Bank drawn up in the late 1980s by the former Israeli foreign minister Moshe Arens. The point of the plan was to prioritize local Arab Palestinian leadership instead of facilitating the PLO’s top-down governing approach, which was corrupt and authoritarian from the start.

Mandel, however, is somewhat skeptical about whether such a plan can work in 2025:

Yet, . . . while it is almost surely a better idea than anything the PA has or will come up with, the primary obstacle is not the quality of the plan but its feasibility under current conditions. The Arens plan was a “what if” moment because there was no clear-cut governing structure in the West Bank and the PLO, then led by Yasir Arafat, was trying to direct the Palestinian side of the peace process from abroad (Lebanon, then Tunisia). In fact, Arens’s idea was to hold local elections among the Palestinians in order to build a certain amount of democratic legitimacy into the foundation of the Arab side of the conflict.

Whatever becomes of the Hebron proposal, there is an important lesson for Gaza from the ignored Arens plan: it was a mistake, as one sheikh told Kaufman, to bring in Palestinian leaders who had spent decades in Tunisia and Lebanon to rule the West Bank after Oslo. Likewise, Gaza will do best if led by the people there on the ground, not new leaders imported from the West Bank, Qatar, or anywhere else.

Read more at Commentary

More about: Hebron, Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, West Bank