It might, write Jonathan Schanzer and Grant Rumley, even though neither Israel nor much of the Hamas ruling clique wants one:
The wild card [is] the internal fissures within Hamas. . . . [Hamas] has multiple patrons with competing regional agendas and is irredeemably fractured as a result. The group’s Iran-backed military wing, its West Bank leaders, its Gaza leaders, and political-wing figures in places like Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt are far from aligned.
Unilateral decisions taken by one or more of these figures can have deadly implications. Last summer, it was Hamas’s military leadership in Turkey that ordered the abduction and murder of three Israeli teenagers in the West Bank. That operation sparked an Israeli reprisal that soon led to escalation and then all-out war. . . .
An uneasy calm exists now between Hamas and Israel, punctuated by the predictable cantankerous rhetoric and an occasional rocket testing. None of that has come close to sparking another conflict, primarily because neither side really wants one. But what Israelis and Palestinians want may not matter now that actors like Mohammed Deif, [the leader of Hamas’s military wing in Gaza], are back in the rocket-making business, digging tunnels for the next round.
Read more on Jerusalem Post: http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/The-next-Gaza-war-that-nobody-wants-403563