Rashida Tlaib’s and Ilhan Omar’s Aborted Trip to Israel Was a Predictable Train Wreck

When Congresswomen Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar announced their plans to visit Israel, the government let it be known that it would not bar them from entry—despite a law preventing those who publicly promote boycotts of the Jewish state from receiving visas. But last week Jerusalem abruptly reversed course, perhaps in response to pressure from President Trump, perhaps because the trip was partially sponsored by the anti-Semitic organization Miftah and involved no meetings with Israeli officials. Tlaib then applied for permission to visit her grandmother, a Palestinian resident of the West Bank, in a solely personal capacity. But once her application was approved, she declared that she would not go under the conditions to which she had agreed.

Alex Joffe takes stock of the visit, Israel’s handling of the issue, and the media’s response:

The Israeli choices were unpalatable: [Tlaib and Omar] could have been admitted and created a media circus for the duration of the visit when they would undoubtedly have issued various condemnations of Israel, or it could have denied them admission. Arguably, the worst outcome would have been a visit to the Temple Mount by the two, which could have sparked riots resulting in injuries perhaps even to the congresswomen themselves. More likely [still], Israeli, or even American, security officials would have prevented them from visiting the Temple Mount at all, resulting in a well-publicized confrontation.

The American responses were predictable. President Trump had broadcast his belief [on Twitter] that the two should be denied entry, with characteristic caprice, . . . making it appear that he was [either] attempting to support Prime Minister Netanyahu’s decision (prior to the Israeli elections), or that Netanyahu was kowtowing to an American diktat.

Yet, writes Joffe, even if Jerusalem might have done better to allow the visit, the denunciations from politicians and pundits were wildly out of proportion:

These . . . condemnations conveniently overlook that Israel has done the same with legislators from other countries, as the U.S. has with an Israeli parliamentarian, as well as a host of others, . . . on far flimsier grounds. [T]he disproportionate response, the sheer outbreak of hysteria and hyperbole, are also measures of the outsized role Israel plays in American politics.

Beyond this, the description of the decision as unprecedented and an affront to Congress is not only deliberately exaggerated and ahistorical: it is also an . . . endorsement of seeing Israel as a vassal of the U.S. [Critics argue that Israeli] vassalage was “proven” by its “taking Trump’s’ advice.” . . . But Democrats also expect to be kowtowed to. . . .

Israeli public diplomacy, clumsily divided between the prime minister’s office, the multifaceted strategic-affairs ministry, and the kneecapped foreign ministry, fell between the cracks. Coordination with the U.S. at the formal diplomatic level and that of various legislators and organizations was also lacking. In the end, it would have been wise to allow Omar and Tlaib to visit and to have been gracious in the face of their animus. Nevertheless, despite the storm, it is unlikely that this particular train wreck will destroy the Israel-American relationship.

Read more at BESA Center

More about: BDS, Benjamin Netanyahu, Donald Trump, Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, US-Israel relations

Yes, Iran Wanted to Hurt Israel

Surveying news websites and social media on Sunday morning, I immediately found some intelligent and well-informed observers arguing that Iran deliberately warned the U.S. of its pending assault on Israel, and calibrated it so that there would be few casualties and minimal destructiveness, thus hoping to avoid major retaliation. In other words, this massive barrage was a face-saving gesture by the ayatollahs. Others disagreed. Brian Carter and Frederick W. Kagan put the issue to rest:

The Iranian April 13 missile-drone attack on Israel was very likely intended to cause significant damage below the threshold that would trigger a massive Israeli response. The attack was designed to succeed, not to fail. The strike package was modeled on those the Russians have used repeatedly against Ukraine to great effect. The attack caused more limited damage than intended likely because the Iranians underestimated the tremendous advantages Israel has in defending against such strikes compared with Ukraine.

But that isn’t to say that Tehran achieved nothing:

The lessons that Iran will draw from this attack will allow it to build more successful strike packages in the future. The attack probably helped Iran identify the relative strengths and weaknesses of the Israeli air-defense system. Iran will likely also share the lessons it learned in this attack with Russia.

Iran’s ability to penetrate Israeli air defenses with even a small number of large ballistic missiles presents serious security concerns for Israel. The only Iranian missiles that got through hit an Israeli military base, limiting the damage, but a future strike in which several ballistic missiles penetrate Israeli air defenses and hit Tel Aviv or Haifa could cause significant civilian casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure, including ports and energy. . . . Israel and its partners should not emerge from this successful defense with any sense of complacency.

Read more at Institute for the Study of War

More about: Iran, Israeli Security, Missiles, War in Ukraine