While the incumbent Israeli prime minister, whose Likud party won a plurality of votes in the recent election, has two weeks to form a governing coalition, it seems that he cannot do so unless he is able to coax individual parliamentarians away from their parties. Meanwhile the Likud lost a Knesset vote on Monday for control of the “arrangements committee.” Haviv Rettig Gur explains:
The panel is a short-lived entity established by each new Knesset to manage the parliament’s agenda and conduct much of its business between the new Knesset’s swearing-in and the official formation of a ruling coalition a few weeks later.
The committee is immensely powerful for the duration of its brief lifespan. It is responsible for establishing the new Knesset’s committees, appointing their chairs and members for the interim period, and coordinating the legislative agenda between the parliamentary factions and with the as-yet interim government.
With control of the arrangements committee, Netanyahu might have had a chance at calling for a direct election of the prime minister, which could in theory end the political deadlock. But it was not to be, and the reason why is significant:
[Netanyahu’s challenger from the right, Naftali] Bennett, voted with Likud on the arrangements-committee question, after Likud promised to give him one of its own seats on the panel. . . . But Netanyahu neglected the Islamist party Ra’am, apparently feeling that its leader Mansour Abbas was in his pocket. And Abbas did not like being ignored. The opposition leader, Yair Lapid, made Abbas a better offer, and Ra’am’s vote with the center-left proved decisive, handing the right its first clear defeat in the new Knesset.
On Monday, even as Netanyahu discovered just how troubled his political prospects had become, Yair Lapid and his allies in the so-called “change camp” continued their efforts to block him at every turn, with the [Lapid] meeting the leaders of various factions, including publicly announced and photographed talks with the once-taboo Arab MKs in the Joint Arab List and Ra’am.
Of course, even with support from the Arab parties, there is no guarantee that Lapid will have the necessary seats for a coalition either.
More about: Benjamin Netanyahu, Israeli Election 2021, Israeli politics, Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid