The editors of the New York Sun consider Hizballah’s recent strike on the Golan Heights, which caused the most Israeli casualties since October 7, and America’s response:

The attack on Majdal Shams throws into sharp relief the error of the Biden administration’s headlong hunt for a ceasefire, which would amount to a reprieve for Hamas and Hizballah. An American official tells Axios that “What happened today could be the trigger we have been worried about and tried to avoid for ten months.” A better worry would have been how to help Israel achieve victory over its foes.

The White House calls the attack “horrific,” but more telling will be whether it backs Israel’s response. If the past is prelude, President Biden—and Vice-President Harris—will seek to restrain the IDF in favor of Hizballah. Ms. Harris’s harsh words for Israel last week suggest that she has little enough appetite for one conflict, let alone two. Mr. Biden has sought to suppress a war, but Hizballah has been emboldened. That is often the price of appeasement.

Indeed, it seems that the president’s one-word warning to Hizballah in October—“Don’t”—has not been taken to heart.

Yesterday, the beepers used by hundreds of Hizballah operatives were detonated. Noah Rothman puts this ingenious attack in the context of the overall war between Israel and the Iran-backed terrorist group:

[W]hile the disabling of an untold number of Hizballah operatives is remarkable, it’s also ominous. This week, the Israeli defense minister Yoav Gallant told reporters that the hour is nearing when Israeli forces will have to confront Iran’s cat’s-paw in southern Lebanon directly, in order to return the tens of thousands of Israelis who fled their homes along Lebanon’s border under fire and have not yet been able to return. Today’s operation may be a prelude to the next phase of Israel’s defensive war, a dangerous one in which the IDF will face off against an enemy with tens of thousands of fighters and over 150,000 rockets and missiles trained on Israeli cities.

Seth Frantzman, meanwhile, focuses on the specific damage the pager bombings have likely done to Hizballah:

This will put the men in hospital for a period of time. Some of them can go back to serving Hizballah, but they will not have access to one of their hands. These will most likely be their dominant hand, meaning the hand they’d also use to hold the trigger of a rifle or push the button to launch a missile.

Hizballah has already lost around 450 fighters in its eleven-month confrontation with Israel. This is a significant loss for the group. While Hizballah can replace losses, it doesn’t have an endlessly deep [supply of recruits]. This is not only because it has to invest in training and security ahead of recruitment, but also because it draws its recruits from a narrow spectrum of Lebanese society.

The overall challenge for Hizballah is not just replacing wounded and dead fighters. The group will be challenged to . . . roll out some other way to communicate with its men. The use of pagers may seem archaic, but Hizballah apparently chose to use this system because it assumed the network could not be penetrated. . . . It will also now be concerned about the penetration of its operational security. When groups like Hizballah are in chaos, they are more vulnerable to making mistakes.