Iran Has Reasons to Restrain Itself in Its Quest for Vengeance https://mosaicmagazine.com/picks/israel-zionism/2024/08/iran-has-reasons-to-restrain-itself-in-its-quest-for-vengeance/

August 8, 2024 | Ron Ben-Yishai
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Considering the possible ways that Iran may decide to retaliate against Israel for the targeted killings of some of its chief terrorists, Ron Ben-Yishai writes:

I will go out on a limb here and say that the level of anxiety, might I say panic, that has spread to large parts of the Israeli public, should be taken down a notch. . . . The Iranians will likely launch an “open conflict,” against Israel that could last two or three days, based on the international efforts of its regime and the statements of its senior officials and commanders. The attacks will be launched by its proxies as well and will attempt to challenge the U.S.-led coalition and Israeli defenses, but the attack will be measured and not very destructive.

This assessment is based on the knowledge that Iran is weak and its regime is concerned over its instability. If the Israeli home front were badly hit, Israel would be easily able to target at least 30 percent of Iran’s oil industry.

Israel will also quite easily destroy Iran’s dams, causing not only drought but a shortage of drinking water that would require the population to receive it in rations. Iranian ports, the country’s lifeline to the world, are large and more vulnerable than the ports of Haifa and Ashdod.

Not all of Iran’s nuclear facilities are underground and its military production sites, including its drone-production plants, are known to Israel’s intelligence and air force and are also susceptible to attack in a manner that would threaten the regime’s stability, and that is reason for restraint.

Read more on Ynet: https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bk0xgbj5c