The New York and New Jersey Bomber Was No Lone Wolf

While Ahmad Khan Rahami might have planted the bombs in Manhattan and New Jersey on his own, he did not plan his attack or “become radicalized” simply by reading jihadist propaganda online, as Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson and others have implied. Matthew Levitt explains:

The . . . fundamental problem with references to “lone wolves” . . . is that the term is largely a misnomer. Since wolves are pack animals, “lone wolf” is meant to conjure up the image of someone who has rejected his nature and is now acting completely independently—a rogue individual operating outside the scope of any cell, network, or group. But while there are cases of individuals . . . who attack on their own with no formal ties to any group, those rare cases are the exceptions that prove the rule. More often than not, evidence indicates that suspects thought to have been lone wolves might more accurately be described as known wolves—people whose radicalization, suspicious travel, and changes in behavior were observed by acquaintances.

That already appears to be the case with Rahami. He apparently traveled to Pakistan in 2005 and then again for three months in 2011. More recently, he lived in Quetta—home of the Afghan Taliban Shura Council—for nearly a year until March 2014; a younger brother said he had also visited Afghanistan during that time. . . .

It’s not just the pattern of his travels that suggests Rahami’s radicalization wasn’t primarily mediated by the Internet. Based on the sophistication of the bombs Rahami purportedly constructed, authorities suspect he received some sort of personalized explosives training. . . .

Rahami may turn out to be a lone offender, but he is unlikely to be a truly lone wolf. . . . And given the evidence available so far, he may have more to do with al-Qaeda—the persistent terrorist group many have already forgotten—than with the still dangerous but now decaying Islamic State.

Read more at Foreign Policy

More about: Al Qaeda, ISIS, Politics & Current Affairs, Taliban, Terrorism

How America Sowed the Seeds of the Current Middle East Crisis in 2015

Analyzing the recent direct Iranian attack on Israel, and Israel’s security situation more generally, Michael Oren looks to the 2015 agreement to restrain Iran’s nuclear program. That, and President Biden’s efforts to resurrect the deal after Donald Trump left it, are in his view the source of the current crisis:

Of the original motivations for the deal—blocking Iran’s path to the bomb and transforming Iran into a peaceful nation—neither remained. All Biden was left with was the ability to kick the can down the road and to uphold Barack Obama’s singular foreign-policy achievement.

In order to achieve that result, the administration has repeatedly refused to punish Iran for its malign actions:

Historians will survey this inexplicable record and wonder how the United States not only allowed Iran repeatedly to assault its citizens, soldiers, and allies but consistently rewarded it for doing so. They may well conclude that in a desperate effort to avoid getting dragged into a regional Middle Eastern war, the U.S. might well have precipitated one.

While America’s friends in the Middle East, especially Israel, have every reason to feel grateful for the vital assistance they received in intercepting Iran’s missile and drone onslaught, they might also ask what the U.S. can now do differently to deter Iran from further aggression. . . . Tehran will see this weekend’s direct attack on Israel as a victory—their own—for their ability to continue threatening Israel and destabilizing the Middle East with impunity.

Israel, of course, must respond differently. Our target cannot simply be the Iranian proxies that surround our country and that have waged war on us since October 7, but, as the Saudis call it, “the head of the snake.”

Read more at Free Press

More about: Barack Obama, Gaza War 2023, Iran, Iran nuclear deal, U.S. Foreign policy