There’s No Evidence That Donald Trump Has Caused a Surge in Anti-Semitic Violence

Those who wish to blame the slaughter of Jews in Pittsburgh on the president have cited a study recently released by the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) that seems to support their contention. According to the study, reported anti-Semitic incidents increased by nearly 60 percent between 2016 and 2017. But, writes David Bernstein, this statistic is highly misleading, and those citing it ignore some basic recent history:

Pittsburgh was hardly the first time an anti-Semitic gunman murdered people in a Jewish institution in the U.S. During the presidencies of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, there was a shooting at a Jewish Community Center in Los Angeles, a shooting at an El Al counter at the Los Angeles airport, a shooting at the Jewish Federation in Seattle, a shooting at a Jewish Community Center in Kansas City, and a shooting at the Holocaust Museum in Washington DC. Lower levels of vandalism and violence have been even more common. It’s true that the death toll in Pittsburgh was especially high, but that’s just happenstance; any of the other shooters would have been happy to kill as many or more. (It’s worth noting that many commentators . . . simply ignore these past crimes, and act as if the Pittsburgh murders were some unique event in recent American Jewish history.) . . .

There are, [furthermore], several problems with relying on this study for Trump-bashing. . . . The first is that the study includes 193 incidents of bomb threats to Jewish institutions as anti-Semitic incidents, even though by the time the ADL published the study, it had been conclusively shown that the two perpetrators of the bomb threats were not motivated by anti-Semitism. . . .

Second, the ADL report itself acknowledges that some of the rise in incidents may simply be due to better reporting. . . . Third, “college campuses saw a total of 204 incidents in 2017, compared to 108 in 2016.” How many of those incidents emanating from traditional forms of anti-Semitism that one might associate with Trumpian populism, and how many from leftist/pro-Palestinian sources? The ADL doesn’t say. . . .

[That being said], I think that reasoned criticism of President Trump is useful—for example, noting that Trump’s conspiratorial mindset inadvertently feeds anti-Semitism because the latter is a product of the same mindset, or that Trump should have unequivocally rejected support from white nationalists during his campaign, . . . and so on, though I would draw the line at blaming Trump for the incident, unless one can also explain why there were similar shootings before Trump and wants to talk about all the other currents of anti-Semitism on both left and right that contribute to Jews’ being by far the most targeted religious group for hate crimes for many years running.

Read more at Volokh Conspiracy

More about: ADL, Anti-Semitism, Donald Trump, Politics & Current Affairs

Israel Just Sent Iran a Clear Message

Early Friday morning, Israel attacked military installations near the Iranian cities of Isfahan and nearby Natanz, the latter being one of the hubs of the country’s nuclear program. Jerusalem is not taking credit for the attack, and none of the details are too certain, but it seems that the attack involved multiple drones, likely launched from within Iran, as well as one or more missiles fired from Syrian or Iraqi airspace. Strikes on Syrian radar systems shortly beforehand probably helped make the attack possible, and there were reportedly strikes on Iraq as well.

Iran itself is downplaying the attack, but the S-300 air-defense batteries in Isfahan appear to have been destroyed or damaged. This is a sophisticated Russian-made system positioned to protect the Natanz nuclear installation. In other words, Israel has demonstrated that Iran’s best technology can’t protect the country’s skies from the IDF. As Yossi Kuperwasser puts it, the attack, combined with the response to the assault on April 13,

clarified to the Iranians that whereas we [Israelis] are not as vulnerable as they thought, they are more vulnerable than they thought. They have difficulty hitting us, but we have no difficulty hitting them.

Nobody knows exactly how the operation was carried out. . . . It is good that a question mark hovers over . . . what exactly Israel did. Let’s keep them wondering. It is good for deniability and good for keeping the enemy uncertain.

The fact that we chose targets that were in the vicinity of a major nuclear facility but were linked to the Iranian missile and air forces was a good message. It communicated that we can reach other targets as well but, as we don’t want escalation, we chose targets nearby that were involved in the attack against Israel. I think it sends the message that if we want to, we can send a stronger message. Israel is not seeking escalation at the moment.

Read more at Jewish Chronicle

More about: Iran, Israeli Security