As part of the deal that paves the way for the normalization of relations between Jerusalem and Rabat, the U.S. has agreed to recognize Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara, a long-disputed territory on Africa’s Atlantic coast. The agreement comes a little less than a month after the Polisario Front—an Algeria-backed group fighting for Sahrawi independence—ended a 30-year ceasefire and resumed open conflict with Morocco. Raphael Bouchnik-Chen explains the geopolitical circumstances behind the Western Sahara conflict, and how they relate to Israel:
The conflict was sparked after Spain’s colonial withdrawal from the region in 1975, leaving Mauritania, Morocco, and the Polisario Front in an entrenched conflict over territorial sovereignty. . . . The timing of the [recent violation of the ceasefire] by the Polisario Front, which was undertaken seemingly out of nowhere, . . . warrants a closer look. It is possible that foreign powers encouraged this provocation as a means of interfering with the ongoing process aimed at concluding a peace agreement between Morocco and Israel.
Tehran is considered by Rabat to be its most dangerous rival, as it has been involved in subversive acts against the Moroccan regime. Tehran and its Lebanese proxy Hizballah were accused of training and arming Polisario Front fighters with surface-to-air missiles, with the deliveries conducted via Iran’s embassy in Algiers. Evidence of these deliveries prompted Morocco to sever relations with Iran in May 2018 and to expel the Iranian ambassador to Rabat.
It is reasonable to infer that the Palestinian Authority (PA) also played a role behind the scenes, as it too wishes to torpedo the establishment of full diplomatic relations between Morocco and Israel. The PA is furious that the Abraham Accords changed the traditional rules of the game in the Middle East, leaving the Palestinian question behind.
In other words, by upholding Morocco’s territorial claims, the U.S. might not just be giving Rabat a gift, but shoring up the regional alliance against Iran.
More about: Abraham Accords, Iran, Israel diplomacy, Morocco, Palestinian Authority, U.S. Foreign policy