On Sunday, a missile launched from Yemen was intercepted by Israeli air defenses, while another seems to have approached Israel and fallen short. The attack is a reminder that, despite intense American bombardment, the Houthis maintain their ability to strike at the Jewish state. They have also been finding ways to expand their influence, allying with al-Shabab, a Somalia-based affiliate of al-Qaeda. Ari Heistein explains:
Historically, the Houthis have fought against al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), the Yemeni branch of the organization. As the Houthis expanded their territorial control over the past decade, AQAP launched numerous attacks against them, viewing the group as heretics with aspirations to rule all of Yemen. According to multiple sources, in 2015, then-U.S. CENTCOM commander and future secretary of defense Lloyd Austin saw the Houthis as “an ally against al-Qaeda.”
This view, that Iranian Shiite proxies could serve as a counterbalance to the Sunni al-Qaeda and Islamic State, animated the thinking of the Obama administration—with disastrous results. In fact, groups aligned with the Russia-Iran axis made common cause with Sunni jihadists when they found it convenient, as evidenced by their support for Hamas. Similarly, by 2024 it became clear to outside observers that the Houthis and AQAP were working together, and that cooperation has since expanded across the Red Sea:
Al-Shabab, al-Qaeda’s branch in the Horn of Africa, was a natural partner for the Houthis due to its proximity to Yemen (just across Bab al-Mandeb), strategic position along Somalia’s key arms-trafficking routes, and significant size and budget. . . . Al-Shabab, with annual revenues exceeding $100 million, is one of al-Qaeda’s wealthiest branches and could become a significant customer for Houthi weapons and services.