The Telegraph reported yesterday that Tehran has ordered its personnel to leave Yemen as the U.S. escalates its bombing campaign and moves more military hardware into the region. Yet, despite the headline’s claim, I doubt this means that Iran is abandoning the Houthis, whom it provides lavishly with equipment, funds, and training. As Ari Heistein and Jason M. Brodsky have argued in Mosaic, it might take more drastic measures to deter the Yemen-based terrorist regime. Reuel Marc Gerecht explains:
American, European, and Israeli reprisals against the Houthis are likely refortifying an old Iranian doctrine: that the Islamic Republic’s enemies are willing to attack the clerical regime’s proxies, but not Iran directly. The Israelis discombobulated this in October 2024, but now it seems to be back in force.
Yet until Iranian supplies are cut off directly, checkmating the Houthis is impossible. The U.S. and allied navies and air forces have so far failed to stop the Houthis harassing shipping. And they are unlikely to do better until the United States is willing to attack Iranian ports—the primary entrepôts for the Houthis—while also hitting Yemeni targets. Unlike the Houthis, the clerical regime has much to lose in a duel with the United States.
For now, however, Trump still believes that a nuclear deal with [the Iranian supreme leader Ali] Khamenei is possible. And until he abandons this idea, he’ll likely have no more success against the Houthis than his predecessor. . . . [T]he nuclear issue cannot be separated from the Islamic Republic’s proxy imperialism. They are solved together, or they are lost separately.
More about: Houthis, Iran, Iranian nuclear program, U.S. Foreign policy