An America with Fewer Children Is a Poorer and Lonelier America

According to the latest projections released by the Census Bureau, deaths in the U.S. will outpace births by 2038, and the American population will begin to shrink in absolute numbers by 2080. The editors of the Washington Examiner comment:

[A] declining population only brings pain in the form of weak economic growth, impoverished young families, and lonely adults. On the economic side, the older a population is, the fewer workers there are to support those too old to work. This means that any productivity achieved by the overall economy is consumed by retirees, not younger workers.

Older people also require more services, such as healthcare and housecleaning, but fewer goods, such as cars and computers, than younger people. This means more spending on low-wage service sectors and fewer investments on infrastructure and manufacturing, sectors that have long provided high stable wages to support young families. Additionally, most innovations come from younger people, so the older a society is, the less innovative it is and more prone to stagnation and recession.

We can reverse our population decline by increasing marriage. We just need to find the political will to do so.

Read more at Washington Examiner

More about: American society, Demography, Marriage

Israel Just Sent Iran a Clear Message

Early Friday morning, Israel attacked military installations near the Iranian cities of Isfahan and nearby Natanz, the latter being one of the hubs of the country’s nuclear program. Jerusalem is not taking credit for the attack, and none of the details are too certain, but it seems that the attack involved multiple drones, likely launched from within Iran, as well as one or more missiles fired from Syrian or Iraqi airspace. Strikes on Syrian radar systems shortly beforehand probably helped make the attack possible, and there were reportedly strikes on Iraq as well.

Iran itself is downplaying the attack, but the S-300 air-defense batteries in Isfahan appear to have been destroyed or damaged. This is a sophisticated Russian-made system positioned to protect the Natanz nuclear installation. In other words, Israel has demonstrated that Iran’s best technology can’t protect the country’s skies from the IDF. As Yossi Kuperwasser puts it, the attack, combined with the response to the assault on April 13,

clarified to the Iranians that whereas we [Israelis] are not as vulnerable as they thought, they are more vulnerable than they thought. They have difficulty hitting us, but we have no difficulty hitting them.

Nobody knows exactly how the operation was carried out. . . . It is good that a question mark hovers over . . . what exactly Israel did. Let’s keep them wondering. It is good for deniability and good for keeping the enemy uncertain.

The fact that we chose targets that were in the vicinity of a major nuclear facility but were linked to the Iranian missile and air forces was a good message. It communicated that we can reach other targets as well but, as we don’t want escalation, we chose targets nearby that were involved in the attack against Israel. I think it sends the message that if we want to, we can send a stronger message. Israel is not seeking escalation at the moment.

Read more at Jewish Chronicle

More about: Iran, Israeli Security