Don’t Look to Russia for Help in Dealing with Iran

Yesterday, Washington offered to join its European allies in efforts to restore the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran. Party to the original agreement, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), are not only the U.S., Britain, France, and Germany, but also Russia, China, and Iran itself—and the last three will have to assent in order for America to modify and rejoin the agreement. Anna Borshchevskaya urges the White House to bear in mind that the Kremlin will want to play any role but a helpful one:

Moscow assisted Iran’s nuclear program for years. A Russian state-run [company] helped the Iranians complete the Bushehr nuclear power plant and officially gave them control of the facility in September 2013, two years before the JCPOA was reached. In this context it should not be a s surprise that Russian support of the JCPOA was crucial to the Obama administration. Russia’s role will be critical now as well. And . . . the Biden administration should prepare for Russia to complicate, rather than support, its efforts.

Moscow long opposed the tough sanctions that brought Iran to the JCPOA negotiating table in the first place. Typically, Russian officials sought to dilute sanctions on Iran and minimized the threat of the Iranian nuclear program. . . . The Kremlin’s ultimate cooperation on the JCPOA was no favor to Washington; rather it was driven by self-interest. The deal allowed Moscow to expand ties with Tehran, extract concessions from Washington, and bolster Russia’s position as a regional counterweight to the West.

More broadly, the deal came at a time when the Russia-Iran relationship had arisen to unprecedented heights. This happened because Moscow and Tehran shared common geostrategic goals of reducing Western influence in the Middle East, including a mutual convergence of interests in Syria. . . . The convergence of Russian and Iranian interest remains the case to this day, while the Iran deal is now a top bilateral agenda item.

Now, as in the past, Moscow continues to play a double game with the West. It acts as both a ready partner and Iran’s lawyer. . . . Biden and his team made clear they want to be tough on Russia on a wide range of issues. . . . [I]f Washington is treating Moscow as hostile power in Europe, why give it a free pass with its allies?

Read more at National Interest

More about: Iran, Iran nuclear program, Russia, U.S. Foreign policy

For the Sake of Gaza, Defeat Hamas Soon

For some time, opponents of U.S support for Israel have been urging the White House to end the war in Gaza, or simply calling for a ceasefire. Douglas Feith and Lewis Libby consider what such a result would actually entail:

Ending the war immediately would allow Hamas to survive and retain military and governing power. Leaving it in the area containing the Sinai-Gaza smuggling routes would ensure that Hamas can rearm. This is why Hamas leaders now plead for a ceasefire. A ceasefire will provide some relief for Gazans today, but a prolonged ceasefire will preserve Hamas’s bloody oppression of Gaza and make future wars with Israel inevitable.

For most Gazans, even when there is no hot war, Hamas’s dictatorship is a nightmarish tyranny. Hamas rule features the torture and murder of regime opponents, official corruption, extremist indoctrination of children, and misery for the population in general. Hamas diverts foreign aid and other resources from proper uses; instead of improving life for the mass of the people, it uses the funds to fight against Palestinians and Israelis.

Moreover, a Hamas-affiliated website warned Gazans last month against cooperating with Israel in securing and delivering the truckloads of aid flowing into the Strip. It promised to deal with those who do with “an iron fist.” In other words, if Hamas remains in power, it will begin torturing, imprisoning, or murdering those it deems collaborators the moment the war ends. Thereafter, Hamas will begin planning its next attack on Israel:

Hamas’s goals are to overshadow the Palestinian Authority, win control of the West Bank, and establish Hamas leadership over the Palestinian revolution. Hamas’s ultimate aim is to spark a regional war to obliterate Israel and, as Hamas leaders steadfastly maintain, fulfill a Quranic vision of killing all Jews.

Hamas planned for corpses of Palestinian babies and mothers to serve as the mainspring of its October 7 war plan. Hamas calculated it could survive a war against a superior Israeli force and energize enemies of Israel around the world. The key to both aims was arranging for grievous Palestinian civilian losses. . . . That element of Hamas’s war plan is working impressively.

Read more at Commentary

More about: Gaza War 2023, Hamas, Joseph Biden