The Israeli Military Isn’t in a State of Crisis—Yet

In the past few months, some citizens of the Jewish state have declared that they will refuse to show up to reserve duty in protest of the current governing coalition. Some informed observers have warned that these refusals raise serious doubts about the IDF’s readiness; others warn against exaggerating the problem; and others still—including Prime Minister Netanyahu himself—have expressed their fears of a situation where the military dictates policy to the civilian government. Eran Lerman argues that refusals to serve have “not yet” created a serious danger to Israeli security, but they might in the future. Moreover, he writes, the current controversies reflect deeper, longer-term issues:

[T]he cherished vision of the IDF “as it once was” has been showing signs of wear and tear for some time, well before the judicial-reform issues brought the tensions into sharper focus. Now the fissures are increasingly visible. As the nature of the threat [to the safety of the Jewish state] changed, . . . so did the level of dependence upon the reserves. It has been more than 40 years since IDF armored formations met enemy tanks in battle, fighting the Syrians on Lebanese soil in 1982. Fighting terror groups and “hybrid” guerilla forces such as Hizballah and Hamas do not require the massed formations and sheer numbers that fighting Arab armies did, and much can be done based on the regular servicemen’s brigades.

The number of Israelis who continued to be called up, or volunteered to keep on coming, dropped dramatically over the last few decades—in fact, fewer than 5 percent are now actually called up. Nevertheless, some elements of the reserves remain crucial in a future all-out conflict. Specifically, the air force continues to rely on old hands reporting for duty, flying missions, training (and inspiring) the younger generation, planning missions, and manning operation rooms. There are segments in which their contribution is almost irreplaceable.

Finally, the protestors are responding to more than the government’s judicial-reform bills; there is the open wound of inequality in service. The exemption for Arab citizens is understood, given their ethnic bonds with the neighbors. But the mass exemption for the growing ḥaredi population is part of what motivates these protests.

Read more at Jerusalem Strategic Tribune

More about: IDF, Israeli Security, Israeli society

For the Sake of Gaza, Defeat Hamas Soon

For some time, opponents of U.S support for Israel have been urging the White House to end the war in Gaza, or simply calling for a ceasefire. Douglas Feith and Lewis Libby consider what such a result would actually entail:

Ending the war immediately would allow Hamas to survive and retain military and governing power. Leaving it in the area containing the Sinai-Gaza smuggling routes would ensure that Hamas can rearm. This is why Hamas leaders now plead for a ceasefire. A ceasefire will provide some relief for Gazans today, but a prolonged ceasefire will preserve Hamas’s bloody oppression of Gaza and make future wars with Israel inevitable.

For most Gazans, even when there is no hot war, Hamas’s dictatorship is a nightmarish tyranny. Hamas rule features the torture and murder of regime opponents, official corruption, extremist indoctrination of children, and misery for the population in general. Hamas diverts foreign aid and other resources from proper uses; instead of improving life for the mass of the people, it uses the funds to fight against Palestinians and Israelis.

Moreover, a Hamas-affiliated website warned Gazans last month against cooperating with Israel in securing and delivering the truckloads of aid flowing into the Strip. It promised to deal with those who do with “an iron fist.” In other words, if Hamas remains in power, it will begin torturing, imprisoning, or murdering those it deems collaborators the moment the war ends. Thereafter, Hamas will begin planning its next attack on Israel:

Hamas’s goals are to overshadow the Palestinian Authority, win control of the West Bank, and establish Hamas leadership over the Palestinian revolution. Hamas’s ultimate aim is to spark a regional war to obliterate Israel and, as Hamas leaders steadfastly maintain, fulfill a Quranic vision of killing all Jews.

Hamas planned for corpses of Palestinian babies and mothers to serve as the mainspring of its October 7 war plan. Hamas calculated it could survive a war against a superior Israeli force and energize enemies of Israel around the world. The key to both aims was arranging for grievous Palestinian civilian losses. . . . That element of Hamas’s war plan is working impressively.

Read more at Commentary

More about: Gaza War 2023, Hamas, Joseph Biden